← Brood en Spelen AMB Regionals
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Brood en Spelen AMB Regionals
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.7%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1213
· median 1213
· range 1213–1213
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1074
Q1 1181
Q3 1345
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 19.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.1 |
| Slimes | 15.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.2% | -8.5 |
| Wind Allies | 10.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
